Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Great Eastern Holdings Limited (G07.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - LifeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$62.17 - $137.44$89.57
Multi-Stage$77.55 - $85.05$81.23
Blended Fair Value$85.40
Current Price$25.80
Upside231.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.21%4.45%0.680.720.520.480.480.480.560.400.440.44
YoY Growth---5.56%38.49%8.31%0.00%0.00%-14.28%39.97%-9.07%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.63%4.07%2.81%2.38%2.40%2.20%2.26%1.44%2.16%2.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,926.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)781.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,145.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)385.28240.80144.48
Cash Retained (M)1,145.401,145.401,145.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-385.28-240.80-144.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)760.12904.601,000.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)592.66592.66592.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.281.531.69
LTM Dividend per Share1.321.321.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.281.531.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.602.843.01
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate2.45%3.45%4.45%
Fair Value$62.17$89.57$137.44
Upside / Downside140.98%247.17%432.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,926.401,992.862,061.612,132.732,206.302,282.422,350.89
Payout Ratio40.54%50.43%60.33%70.22%80.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)781.001,005.071,243.671,497.531,767.432,054.172,174.57

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.73%6.73%6.73%
Growth Rate2.45%3.45%4.45%
Year 1 PV (M)932.55941.65950.75
Year 2 PV (M)1,070.671,091.681,112.88
Year 3 PV (M)1,196.201,231.571,267.63
Year 4 PV (M)1,309.931,361.831,415.25
Year 5 PV (M)1,412.591,482.891,555.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)40,040.9442,033.6444,104.89
Equity Value (M)45,962.8948,143.2650,407.38
Shares Outstanding (M)592.66592.66592.66
Fair Value$77.55$81.23$85.05
Upside / Downside200.59%214.85%229.66%

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