Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

First Merchants Corporation (FRME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$108.52 - $353.69$176.01
Multi-Stage$71.32 - $77.90$74.55
Blended Fair Value$125.28
Current Price$37.70
Upside232.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.74%22.54%1.411.381.261.060.980.890.720.550.380.27
YoY Growth--1.95%10.05%18.81%8.29%10.27%23.08%30.92%43.31%41.84%46.38%
Dividend Yield--3.48%4.05%3.81%2.54%2.10%3.34%1.91%1.32%0.97%1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)82.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)150.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.6629.1617.50
Cash Retained (M)150.72150.72150.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.66-29.16-17.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)104.06121.56133.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)57.9357.9357.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.802.102.30
LTM Dividend per Share1.431.431.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.802.102.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.223.523.73
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$108.52$176.01$353.69
Upside / Downside187.84%366.86%838.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.29248.45264.60281.80300.11319.62329.21
Payout Ratio35.39%46.32%57.24%68.16%79.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)82.57115.07151.45192.07237.33287.66304.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.63%8.63%8.63%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)104.93105.93106.92
Year 2 PV (M)125.94128.33130.76
Year 3 PV (M)145.64149.82154.08
Year 4 PV (M)164.11170.42176.91
Year 5 PV (M)181.38190.14199.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,409.223,573.893,744.86
Equity Value (M)4,131.224,318.534,512.76
Shares Outstanding (M)57.9357.9357.93
Fair Value$71.32$74.55$77.90
Upside / Downside89.17%97.75%106.64%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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