Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fourlis Holdings S.A. (FOYRK.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.89 - $7.38$6.07
Multi-Stage$10.11 - $11.11$10.60
Blended Fair Value$8.33
Current Price$3.92
Upside112.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.180.130.120.000.000.000.001.271.580.00
YoY Growth--44.90%7.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-19.57%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.91%3.14%3.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%22.33%38.66%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)10.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.863.662.20
Cash Retained (M)10.0210.0210.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.86-3.66-2.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.166.367.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.1751.1751.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.120.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.500.53
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.89$6.07$7.38
Upside / Downside24.84%54.82%88.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.3029.0128.7228.4328.1527.8628.70
Payout Ratio65.80%70.64%75.48%80.32%85.16%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.2820.4921.6822.8423.9725.0826.55

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.9319.1219.31
Year 2 PV (M)18.4918.8719.25
Year 3 PV (M)17.9918.5519.12
Year 4 PV (M)17.4418.1718.91
Year 5 PV (M)16.8617.7418.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)427.61449.88473.07
Equity Value (M)517.33542.32568.31
Shares Outstanding (M)51.1751.1751.17
Fair Value$10.11$10.60$11.11
Upside / Downside157.91%170.37%183.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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