Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financials

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Margins Returns Growth Metrics

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Fidelity National Financial, Inc. (FNF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - SpecialtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$116.48 - $386.16$189.78
Multi-Stage$77.18 - $84.26$80.66
Blended Fair Value$135.22
Current Price$60.49
Upside123.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.11%10.11%1.951.831.791.631.421.261.201.020.880.81
YoY Growth--6.40%2.25%9.64%14.65%13.08%4.88%17.99%16.32%8.64%8.37%
Dividend Yield--2.99%3.46%5.13%3.48%3.65%5.27%3.28%2.65%3.17%3.35%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,169.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)547.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)622.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)233.80146.1387.68
Cash Retained (M)622.00622.00622.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-233.80-146.13-87.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)388.20475.88534.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)273.00273.00273.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.421.741.96
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.421.741.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.433.753.96
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$116.48$189.78$386.16
Upside / Downside92.57%213.73%538.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,169.001,244.991,325.911,412.091,503.881,601.631,649.68
Payout Ratio46.79%55.43%64.08%72.72%81.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)547.00690.14849.581,026.831,223.531,441.471,525.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.60%8.60%8.60%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)629.51635.47641.44
Year 2 PV (M)706.85720.32733.91
Year 3 PV (M)779.27801.64824.43
Year 4 PV (M)846.96879.54913.04
Year 5 PV (M)910.16954.12999.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,197.3518,027.9918,890.42
Equity Value (M)21,070.1022,019.0723,003.00
Shares Outstanding (M)273.00273.00273.00
Fair Value$77.18$80.66$84.26
Upside / Downside27.59%33.34%39.30%

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