Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Flexdeal Simfe S.A. (FLEXD.LS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.50 - $2.14$1.81
Multi-Stage$2.37 - $2.60$2.48
Blended Fair Value$2.15
Current Price$4.90
Upside-56.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.120.050.030.140.070.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--122.23%55.95%-76.65%114.80%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.39%1.07%0.67%3.00%1.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)0.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.160.100.06
Cash Retained (M)0.500.500.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.16-0.10-0.06
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.340.400.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.643.643.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.180.190.21
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.50$1.81$2.14
Upside / Downside-69.40%-62.99%-56.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)0.810.800.790.780.780.770.79
Payout Ratio38.33%48.67%59.00%69.33%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.310.390.470.540.620.690.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.59%9.59%9.59%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.350.350.36
Year 2 PV (M)0.380.390.40
Year 3 PV (M)0.400.410.43
Year 4 PV (M)0.410.430.45
Year 5 PV (M)0.420.440.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)6.677.027.38
Equity Value (M)8.639.049.47
Shares Outstanding (M)3.643.643.64
Fair Value$2.37$2.48$2.60
Upside / Downside-51.61%-49.32%-46.93%

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