Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Federated Hermes, Inc. (FHI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$89.33 - $186.09$126.01
Multi-Stage$83.74 - $91.64$87.62
Blended Fair Value$106.81
Current Price$51.93
Upside105.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.11%5.83%2.401.281.271.372.701.421.391.322.671.36
YoY Growth--88.40%0.18%-7.42%-49.09%90.35%2.06%5.35%-50.60%96.38%-0.20%
Dividend Yield--5.89%3.53%3.17%4.04%8.63%7.45%4.63%3.95%10.14%4.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)380.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)277.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.2047.6228.57
Cash Retained (M)277.24277.24277.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.20-47.62-28.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)201.04229.62248.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76.9276.9276.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.612.993.23
LTM Dividend per Share1.351.351.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.612.993.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.964.334.58
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate3.83%4.83%5.83%
Fair Value$89.33$126.01$186.09
Upside / Downside72.02%142.65%258.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)380.98399.39418.69438.92460.14482.37496.84
Payout Ratio27.23%39.78%52.34%64.89%77.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.74158.89219.13284.83356.36434.14459.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate3.83%4.83%5.83%
Year 1 PV (M)145.13146.53147.93
Year 2 PV (M)182.82186.36189.93
Year 3 PV (M)217.04223.37229.83
Year 4 PV (M)248.03257.72267.70
Year 5 PV (M)275.99289.54303.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,372.555,636.295,910.29
Equity Value (M)6,441.566,739.827,049.29
Shares Outstanding (M)76.9276.9276.92
Fair Value$83.74$87.62$91.64
Upside / Downside61.26%68.73%76.47%

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