Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Future Generation Global Limited (FGG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - GlobalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.40 - $65.91$28.38
Multi-Stage$7.30 - $7.98$7.63
Blended Fair Value$18.01
Current Price$1.51
Upside1,092.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS39.73%0.00%0.070.060.060.030.020.010.010.010.010.00
YoY Growth--3.72%9.41%119.39%49.76%42.88%88.96%1.53%7.06%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.74%5.45%5.20%1.68%1.20%0.99%0.50%0.52%0.57%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)131.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)85.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.3916.499.90
Cash Retained (M)85.6285.6285.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.39-16.49-9.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)59.2369.1375.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)398.10398.10398.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.170.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.40$28.38$65.91
Upside / Downside787.11%1,779.61%4,264.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)131.94140.51149.65159.37169.73180.76186.19
Payout Ratio35.11%46.08%57.06%68.04%79.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.3264.7585.39108.44134.12162.69172.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.6260.1960.75
Year 2 PV (M)72.3973.7775.16
Year 3 PV (M)84.6587.0889.55
Year 4 PV (M)96.40100.10103.92
Year 5 PV (M)107.66112.86118.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,483.982,603.952,728.52
Equity Value (M)2,904.693,037.953,176.16
Shares Outstanding (M)398.10398.10398.10
Fair Value$7.30$7.63$7.98
Upside / Downside383.20%405.37%428.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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