Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

FCR Immobilien AG (FC9.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88.43 - $379.92$153.28
Multi-Stage$135.06 - $148.54$141.67
Blended Fair Value$147.48
Current Price$11.70
Upside1,160.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.86%0.00%0.250.220.350.300.280.160.030.000.330.00
YoY Growth--15.98%-37.72%16.66%6.74%77.95%431.72%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.38%1.54%2.32%1.72%2.26%1.33%0.33%0.00%3.57%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)24.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.903.692.21
Cash Retained (M)24.8924.8924.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.90-3.69-2.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.9921.2022.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)9.899.899.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.922.142.29
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.922.142.29
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.392.612.76
WACC / Discount Rate4.96%4.96%4.96%
Growth Rate2.20%3.20%4.20%
Fair Value$88.43$153.28$379.92
Upside / Downside655.85%1,210.10%3,147.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.4830.4331.4032.4133.4534.5235.55
Payout Ratio15.59%30.47%45.35%60.24%75.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.609.2714.2419.5225.1231.0732.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.96%4.96%4.96%
Growth Rate2.20%3.20%4.20%
Year 1 PV (M)8.758.838.92
Year 2 PV (M)12.6812.9313.18
Year 3 PV (M)16.4016.8817.38
Year 4 PV (M)19.9120.7021.51
Year 5 PV (M)23.2324.3925.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,254.641,317.241,382.30
Equity Value (M)1,335.601,400.971,468.88
Shares Outstanding (M)9.899.899.89
Fair Value$135.06$141.67$148.54
Upside / Downside1,054.35%1,110.85%1,169.55%

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