Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Koskisen Corp (EZ8.SG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Paper, Lumber & Forest ProductsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.75 - $3.96$3.34
Multi-Stage$4.49 - $4.93$4.71
Blended Fair Value$4.02
Current Price$8.60
Upside-53.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.310.420.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---25.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.67%6.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)6.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.831.140.69
Cash Retained (M)6.376.376.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.83-1.14-0.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)4.545.235.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.6823.6823.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.310.340.36
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.75$3.34$3.96
Upside / Downside-68.05%-61.18%-53.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9.149.058.968.878.788.698.96
Payout Ratio30.31%42.25%54.18%66.12%78.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.773.824.865.876.867.838.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.02%9.02%9.02%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.473.513.54
Year 2 PV (M)4.004.094.17
Year 3 PV (M)4.394.534.67
Year 4 PV (M)4.664.855.05
Year 5 PV (M)4.835.085.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)84.9989.4194.02
Equity Value (M)106.35111.47116.80
Shares Outstanding (M)23.6823.6823.68
Fair Value$4.49$4.71$4.93
Upside / Downside-47.79%-45.27%-42.66%

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