Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Eastman Chemical Company (EMN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44.63 - $64.89$54.45
Multi-Stage$69.51 - $76.12$72.76
Blended Fair Value$63.60
Current Price$63.05
Upside0.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.02%6.08%3.243.223.263.213.062.942.722.532.332.04
YoY Growth--0.80%-1.31%1.60%4.75%4.37%7.86%7.43%8.82%14.29%13.33%
Dividend Yield--3.68%3.21%3.87%2.86%2.78%6.30%3.47%2.40%2.88%2.82%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)699.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)380.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)319.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)139.8087.3852.43
Cash Retained (M)319.00319.00319.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-139.80-87.38-52.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.20231.63266.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)116.85116.85116.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.531.982.28
LTM Dividend per Share3.253.253.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.531.982.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.795.235.53
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Fair Value$44.63$54.45$64.89
Upside / Downside-29.21%-13.64%2.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)699.00698.06697.11696.17695.23694.30715.12
Payout Ratio54.36%61.49%68.62%75.75%82.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)380.00429.24478.35527.32576.16624.87661.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.47%9.47%9.47%
Growth Rate-1.13%-0.13%0.87%
Year 1 PV (M)388.20392.12396.05
Year 2 PV (M)391.24399.20407.23
Year 3 PV (M)390.06402.01414.21
Year 4 PV (M)385.43401.27417.58
Year 5 PV (M)378.05397.56417.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,189.846,509.286,841.78
Equity Value (M)8,122.828,501.448,894.72
Shares Outstanding (M)116.85116.85116.85
Fair Value$69.51$72.76$76.12
Upside / Downside10.25%15.39%20.73%

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