Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Emaar Properties PJSC (EMAAR.AE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$209.40 - $342.96$321.40
Multi-Stage$57.26 - $62.60$59.88
Blended Fair Value$190.64
Current Price$13.60
Upside1,301.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.12%-1.52%0.820.330.210.230.100.260.510.170.160.27
YoY Growth--150.76%58.68%-9.71%124.20%-60.39%-49.73%204.22%6.87%-41.22%-72.01%
Dividend Yield--6.17%3.93%3.70%3.82%2.89%11.63%10.75%2.89%2.16%4.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,253.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13,248.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,004.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,050.681,906.671,144.00
Cash Retained (M)2,004.932,004.932,004.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,050.68-1,906.67-1,144.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1,045.7498.26860.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,845.168,845.168,845.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.120.010.10
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.120.010.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.381.511.60
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$209.40$321.40$342.96
Upside / Downside1,439.69%2,263.25%2,421.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,253.3916,244.8617,300.7818,425.3319,622.9720,898.4621,525.42
Payout Ratio86.86%87.48%88.11%88.74%89.37%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13,248.4614,211.7615,244.3216,351.0617,537.2818,808.6219,911.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13,257.0313,382.6913,508.35
Year 2 PV (M)13,264.9313,517.5913,772.63
Year 3 PV (M)13,272.1513,653.1514,041.37
Year 4 PV (M)13,278.7213,789.3814,314.63
Year 5 PV (M)13,284.6313,926.2814,592.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)440,154.31461,413.93483,487.20
Equity Value (M)506,511.77529,683.01553,716.67
Shares Outstanding (M)8,845.168,845.168,845.16
Fair Value$57.26$59.88$62.60
Upside / Downside321.06%340.32%360.30%

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