Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

EL.En. S.p.A. (ELN.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.92 - $48.82$29.70
Multi-Stage$13.98 - $15.27$14.61
Blended Fair Value$22.16
Current Price$11.36
Upside95.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.18%19.18%0.210.230.210.120.000.100.100.100.070.06
YoY Growth---9.76%9.63%83.09%8,191.57%-98.53%0.00%0.00%33.33%20.00%63.56%
Dividend Yield--2.31%2.00%1.78%0.81%0.02%2.39%2.03%1.19%1.04%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.619.135.48
Cash Retained (M)54.4054.4054.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.61-9.13-5.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.7845.2648.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.4280.4280.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.490.560.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.490.560.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.84
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$19.92$29.70$48.82
Upside / Downside75.32%161.48%329.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.0777.8282.8888.2794.01100.12103.12
Payout Ratio25.56%38.45%51.33%64.22%77.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.6829.9242.5556.6972.4990.1195.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.35%9.35%9.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.1027.3627.62
Year 2 PV (M)34.9235.5836.25
Year 3 PV (M)42.1443.3544.59
Year 4 PV (M)48.8250.7052.63
Year 5 PV (M)54.9757.6360.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)916.37960.631,006.59
Equity Value (M)1,124.331,175.261,228.06
Shares Outstanding (M)80.4280.4280.42
Fair Value$13.98$14.61$15.27
Upside / Downside23.07%28.65%34.43%

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