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FBD Holdings plc (EG7.IR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.01 - $153.90$96.84
Multi-Stage$75.03 - $82.15$78.53
Blended Fair Value$87.68
Current Price$13.90
Upside530.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.30%15.16%1.971.970.980.000.000.490.240.000.000.33
YoY Growth--0.08%100.01%0.00%0.00%-100.00%105.93%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-31.73%
Dividend Yield--15.56%17.33%8.90%0.00%0.00%5.58%2.86%0.00%0.00%4.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)72.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23.6514.788.87
Cash Retained (M)45.5745.5745.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-23.65-14.78-8.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)21.9130.7836.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.4836.4836.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.600.841.01
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.600.841.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.592.843.00
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Fair Value$66.01$96.84$153.90
Upside / Downside374.86%596.67%1,007.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118.25122.93127.79132.84138.09143.54147.85
Payout Ratio61.47%67.17%72.88%78.59%84.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)72.6982.5893.13104.39116.40129.19136.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate2.95%3.95%4.95%
Year 1 PV (M)76.4377.1877.92
Year 2 PV (M)79.7981.3582.92
Year 3 PV (M)82.7985.2287.71
Year 4 PV (M)85.4488.8192.28
Year 5 PV (M)87.7892.1296.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,324.912,440.042,559.68
Equity Value (M)2,737.142,864.722,997.15
Shares Outstanding (M)36.4836.4836.48
Fair Value$75.03$78.53$82.15
Upside / Downside439.77%464.93%491.04%

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