Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Diverger Limited (DVR.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.85 - $18.59$13.88
Multi-Stage$2.36 - $2.58$2.47
Blended Fair Value$8.18
Current Price$1.26
Upside548.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%47.68%0.050.050.090.030.030.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--11.10%-49.42%174.94%25.56%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%87.61%106.22%
Dividend Yield--6.42%5.70%8.87%4.43%2.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.58%0.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.750.470.28
Cash Retained (M)1.141.141.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.75-0.47-0.28
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.380.660.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.3640.3640.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4.85$13.88$18.59
Upside / Downside284.70%1,001.86%1,375.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3.774.024.284.564.855.175.32
Payout Ratio69.90%73.92%77.94%81.96%85.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.642.973.333.734.174.654.92

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2.752.772.80
Year 2 PV (M)2.852.912.96
Year 3 PV (M)2.953.043.12
Year 4 PV (M)3.053.173.29
Year 5 PV (M)3.143.303.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)80.6684.5588.60
Equity Value (M)95.4099.73104.22
Shares Outstanding (M)40.3640.3640.36
Fair Value$2.36$2.47$2.58
Upside / Downside87.60%96.12%104.95%

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