Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Dividend 15 Split Corp. II (DF.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$64.15 - $120.76$87.13
Multi-Stage$85.88 - $94.31$90.02
Blended Fair Value$88.58
Current Price$6.06
Upside1,361.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.50%3.78%0.610.000.840.490.240.270.350.810.540.65
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%72.74%99.94%-10.98%-20.55%-57.34%51.32%-17.09%52.13%
Dividend Yield--9.32%0.00%17.88%7.82%8.12%5.34%8.64%9.56%7.31%8.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)100.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)85.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.0512.537.52
Cash Retained (M)85.6285.6285.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.05-12.53-7.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)65.5773.0978.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.7823.7823.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.763.073.28
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.763.073.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.373.693.90
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate1.78%2.78%3.78%
Fair Value$64.15$87.13$120.76
Upside / Downside958.52%1,337.83%1,892.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)100.24103.02105.88108.82111.84114.95118.40
Payout Ratio14.59%29.67%44.75%59.83%74.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.6230.5647.3865.1183.79103.45109.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate1.78%2.78%3.78%
Year 1 PV (M)28.2528.5328.81
Year 2 PV (M)40.4941.2942.10
Year 3 PV (M)51.4352.9654.52
Year 4 PV (M)61.1863.6266.13
Year 5 PV (M)69.8273.3276.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,790.921,880.651,973.94
Equity Value (M)2,042.092,140.372,242.45
Shares Outstanding (M)23.7823.7823.78
Fair Value$85.88$90.02$94.31
Upside / Downside1,317.24%1,385.44%1,456.29%

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