Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Dillards Capital Trust I CAP SECS 7.5% (DDT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Department StoresSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,128.57 - $7,345.41$6,883.73
Multi-Stage$1,200.40 - $1,315.79$1,257.02
Blended Fair Value$4,070.38
Current Price$25.78
Upside15,688.89%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS104.68%44.58%26.3117.250.000.000.890.730.710.600.620.64
YoY Growth--52.52%0.00%0.00%-100.00%21.32%3.71%17.87%-3.71%-2.21%-3.46%
Dividend Yield--100.71%66.85%0.00%0.00%3.46%4.47%2.64%2.34%2.43%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)580.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)560.73
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)116.1672.6043.56
Cash Retained (M)560.73560.73560.73
(-) Cash Required (M)-116.16-72.60-43.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)444.57488.13517.17
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.7315.7315.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share28.2731.0432.89
LTM Dividend per Share1.281.281.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share28.2731.0432.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend29.5532.3234.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.11%6.11%6.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$5,128.57$6,883.73$7,345.41
Upside / Downside19,793.61%26,601.81%28,392.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)580.80618.55658.76701.58747.18795.75819.62
Payout Ratio3.46%20.76%38.07%55.38%72.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.07128.44250.81388.55543.13716.17758.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.11%6.11%6.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)119.91121.05122.18
Year 2 PV (M)218.60222.77226.97
Year 3 PV (M)316.16325.24334.49
Year 4 PV (M)412.60428.47444.79
Year 5 PV (M)507.92532.45557.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,301.0918,136.7419,004.37
Equity Value (M)18,876.2919,766.7220,690.73
Shares Outstanding (M)15.7315.7315.73
Fair Value$1,200.40$1,257.02$1,315.79
Upside / Downside4,556.32%4,775.97%5,003.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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