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Definitive Analysis

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BNY Mellon Alcentra Global Credit Income 2024 Target Term Fund, Inc. (DCF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.44 - $33.11$26.86
Multi-Stage$48.30 - $53.17$50.69
Blended Fair Value$38.78
Current Price$9.09
Upside326.57%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS-8.26%0.00%0.420.570.590.590.630.650.430.000.000.00
YoY Growth---26.32%-2.85%-0.24%-7.13%-2.01%50.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.62%7.32%7.84%6.14%7.80%6.96%4.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)14.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.92
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.954.352.61
Cash Retained (M)19.9219.9219.92
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.95-4.35-2.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)12.9715.5817.31
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)15.0015.0015.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.861.041.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.861.041.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.852.032.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.44$26.86$33.11
Upside / Downside135.89%195.51%264.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.7734.4334.0833.7433.4033.0734.06
Payout Ratio42.71%52.17%61.62%71.08%80.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)14.8517.9621.0023.9826.9029.7631.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.48%6.48%6.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16.7016.8717.04
Year 2 PV (M)18.1518.5318.90
Year 3 PV (M)19.2719.8720.48
Year 4 PV (M)20.1020.9321.79
Year 5 PV (M)20.6721.7522.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)629.64662.43696.57
Equity Value (M)724.54760.37797.64
Shares Outstanding (M)15.0015.0015.00
Fair Value$48.30$50.69$53.17
Upside / Downside431.35%457.63%484.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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