Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Derichebourg S.A. (DBG.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$111.66 - $250.19$234.43
Multi-Stage$66.01 - $72.49$69.19
Blended Fair Value$151.81
Current Price$5.40
Upside2,711.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.63%9.92%0.160.320.320.000.110.140.140.020.050.00
YoY Growth---50.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-21.88%-2.18%663.33%-61.04%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.03%6.70%7.77%0.00%4.34%4.39%3.15%0.21%1.71%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)203.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)157.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.6825.4315.26
Cash Retained (M)157.20157.20157.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.68-25.43-15.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.52131.78141.95
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)159.31159.31159.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.730.830.89
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.730.830.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.021.121.18
WACC / Discount Rate4.87%4.87%4.87%
Growth Rate3.92%4.92%5.92%
Fair Value$111.66$234.43$250.19
Upside / Downside1,967.82%4,241.29%4,533.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)203.40213.41223.91234.93246.49258.62266.38
Payout Ratio22.71%36.17%49.63%63.09%76.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.2077.19111.12148.21188.67232.76246.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.87%4.87%4.87%
Growth Rate3.92%4.92%5.92%
Year 1 PV (M)72.9173.6174.31
Year 2 PV (M)99.12101.04102.97
Year 3 PV (M)124.86128.50132.21
Year 4 PV (M)150.12155.98162.01
Year 5 PV (M)174.91183.49192.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,894.3110,379.6110,883.77
Equity Value (M)10,516.2211,022.2211,547.67
Shares Outstanding (M)159.31159.31159.31
Fair Value$66.01$69.19$72.49
Upside / Downside1,122.44%1,181.26%1,242.34%

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