Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

NamSys Inc. (CTZ.V)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.97 - $4.96$2.96
Multi-Stage$1.42 - $1.55$1.48
Blended Fair Value$2.22
Current Price$1.49
Upside49.06%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.050.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-39.03%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.26%0.97%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.480.300.18
Cash Retained (M)1.051.051.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.48-0.30-0.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.570.750.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.4727.4727.47
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.050.050.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.08
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1.97$2.96$4.96
Upside / Downside31.98%98.71%233.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.402.562.722.903.093.293.39
Payout Ratio56.26%63.01%69.76%76.51%83.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.351.611.902.222.572.963.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.25%9.25%9.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1.461.471.49
Year 2 PV (M)1.561.591.62
Year 3 PV (M)1.651.701.75
Year 4 PV (M)1.741.801.87
Year 5 PV (M)1.811.901.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)30.7232.2133.75
Equity Value (M)38.9540.6842.47
Shares Outstanding (M)27.4727.4727.47
Fair Value$1.42$1.48$1.55
Upside / Downside-4.83%-0.60%3.78%

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