Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CTP N.V. (CTPNV.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.95 - $33.25$27.27
Multi-Stage$43.89 - $48.36$46.08
Blended Fair Value$36.67
Current Price$18.96
Upside93.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.320.340.260.010.000.000.410.000.000.00
YoY Growth---7.68%32.26%2,149.23%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.92%2.10%2.18%0.08%0.00%0.00%2.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,207.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)154.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,052.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)241.44150.9090.54
Cash Retained (M)1,052.301,052.301,052.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-241.44-150.90-90.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)810.86901.40961.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)476.75476.75476.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.701.892.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.701.892.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.032.222.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.95$27.27$33.25
Upside / Downside15.77%43.82%75.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,207.201,195.131,183.181,171.341,159.631,148.041,182.48
Payout Ratio12.83%28.27%43.70%59.13%74.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)154.90337.80517.03692.65864.691,033.231,093.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.04%7.04%7.04%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)312.39315.57318.76
Year 2 PV (M)442.16451.22460.39
Year 3 PV (M)547.77564.71581.99
Year 4 PV (M)632.37658.58685.60
Year 5 PV (M)698.77735.16773.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,291.0619,243.5220,235.25
Equity Value (M)20,924.5121,968.7623,055.03
Shares Outstanding (M)476.75476.75476.75
Fair Value$43.89$46.08$48.36
Upside / Downside131.49%143.04%155.06%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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