Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Carsurin Tbk (CRSN.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$65.74 - $94.27$79.70
Multi-Stage$104.25 - $114.50$109.27
Blended Fair Value$94.49
Current Price$105.00
Upside-10.01%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%2.350.003.720.730.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%411.90%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27,376.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,796.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,580.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,475.373,422.102,053.26
Cash Retained (M)20,580.6320,580.6320,580.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,475.37-3,422.10-2,053.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)15,105.2617,158.5318,527.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
LTM Dividend per Share2.352.352.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.225.936.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.578.288.76
WACC / Discount Rate9.29%9.29%9.29%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$65.74$79.70$94.27
Upside / Downside-37.39%-24.10%-10.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27,376.8327,103.0626,832.0326,563.7126,298.0726,035.0926,816.14
Payout Ratio24.82%37.86%50.89%63.93%76.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,796.2010,261.1413,656.1016,982.1420,240.2923,431.5824,804.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.29%9.29%9.29%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)9,294.169,389.009,483.84
Year 2 PV (M)11,203.5511,433.3611,665.50
Year 3 PV (M)12,619.3113,009.5713,407.80
Year 4 PV (M)13,623.0514,187.6714,769.65
Year 5 PV (M)14,284.7915,028.6315,803.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)240,452.05252,972.94266,010.08
Equity Value (M)301,476.91316,021.17331,140.01
Shares Outstanding (M)2,892.002,892.002,892.00
Fair Value$104.25$109.27$114.50
Upside / Downside-0.72%4.07%9.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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