Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Christiani & Nielsen (Thai) Public Company Limited (CNT.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.96 - $1.76$1.29
Multi-Stage$5.29 - $5.86$5.57
Blended Fair Value$3.43
Current Price$1.11
Upside209.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.050.040.000.050.110.050.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%25.00%0.00%-100.00%-55.18%123.61%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%2.82%2.41%0.00%2.44%4.20%1.16%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)72.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)31.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.569.105.46
Cash Retained (M)31.7031.7031.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.56-9.10-5.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)17.1422.6026.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,027.901,027.901,027.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.060.060.07
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-5.46%-4.46%-3.46%
Fair Value$0.96$1.29$1.76
Upside / Downside-13.65%16.23%58.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)72.8269.5766.4663.5060.6757.9659.70
Payout Ratio56.47%63.17%69.88%76.59%83.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.1243.9546.4548.6350.5352.1655.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-5.46%-4.46%-3.46%
Year 1 PV (M)43.4343.8944.35
Year 2 PV (M)45.3646.3347.30
Year 3 PV (M)46.9448.4449.98
Year 4 PV (M)48.2050.2752.41
Year 5 PV (M)49.1751.8354.60
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,205.525,486.725,779.94
Equity Value (M)5,438.635,727.486,028.58
Shares Outstanding (M)1,027.901,027.901,027.90
Fair Value$5.29$5.57$5.86
Upside / Downside376.67%401.98%428.37%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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