Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Cigna Corporation (CI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Healthcare PlansSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,139.00 - $4,456.30$3,161.86
Multi-Stage$543.05 - $594.26$568.18
Blended Fair Value$1,865.02
Current Price$288.25
Upside547.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS153.39%64.20%5.715.295.054.890.050.050.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.07%4.77%3.21%8,840.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.74%1.45%1.97%2.04%0.02%0.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6,147.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,599.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,548.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,229.40768.38461.03
Cash Retained (M)4,548.004,548.004,548.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,229.40-768.38-461.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,318.603,779.634,086.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)274.33274.33274.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.1013.7814.90
LTM Dividend per Share5.835.835.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.1013.7814.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.9319.6120.73
WACC / Discount Rate7.16%7.16%7.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,139.00$3,161.86$4,456.30
Upside / Downside295.14%996.92%1,445.98%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6,147.006,546.566,972.087,425.277,907.918,421.928,674.58
Payout Ratio26.01%38.81%51.61%64.41%77.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,599.002,540.733,598.124,782.256,105.117,579.738,023.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.16%7.16%7.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,348.702,370.962,393.22
Year 2 PV (M)3,074.773,133.343,192.46
Year 3 PV (M)3,777.793,886.243,996.74
Year 4 PV (M)4,458.284,629.734,806.08
Year 5 PV (M)5,116.785,363.925,620.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)130,195.96136,484.47143,013.66
Equity Value (M)148,972.27155,868.65163,022.68
Shares Outstanding (M)274.33274.33274.33
Fair Value$543.05$568.18$594.26
Upside / Downside88.39%97.12%106.16%

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