Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Chemtrade Logistics Income Fund (CHE-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$146.38 - $172.59$161.68
Multi-Stage$145.60 - $160.40$152.86
Blended Fair Value$157.27
Current Price$13.44
Upside1,070.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.17%0.71%0.620.470.440.420.540.900.900.850.670.67
YoY Growth--32.02%5.99%5.41%-22.09%-40.00%0.00%6.75%25.54%0.33%15.75%
Dividend Yield--6.39%5.53%5.66%5.25%7.89%18.34%9.84%5.49%3.63%3.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)111.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)79.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)32.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.2813.938.36
Cash Retained (M)32.3032.3032.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.28-13.93-8.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.0118.3723.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)123.14123.14123.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.150.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.640.640.64
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.150.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.720.790.84
WACC / Discount Rate-8.30%-8.30%-8.30%
Growth Rate1.12%2.12%3.12%
Fair Value$146.38$161.68$172.59
Upside / Downside989.10%1,102.99%1,184.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)111.41113.77116.18118.64121.15123.71127.42
Payout Ratio71.01%74.81%78.61%82.40%86.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)79.1285.1191.3297.76104.43111.34117.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-8.30%-8.30%-8.30%
Growth Rate1.12%2.12%3.12%
Year 1 PV (M)91.9092.8193.72
Year 2 PV (M)106.48108.60110.74
Year 3 PV (M)123.09126.77130.54
Year 4 PV (M)141.98147.68153.55
Year 5 PV (M)163.45171.69180.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,303.0018,175.7019,083.25
Equity Value (M)17,929.9018,823.2519,752.06
Shares Outstanding (M)123.14123.14123.14
Fair Value$145.60$152.86$160.40
Upside / Downside983.36%1,037.34%1,093.46%

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