Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Cencosud Shopping S.A. (CENCOSHOPP.SN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,457.84 - $2,426.10$1,885.04
Multi-Stage$2,938.22 - $3,226.38$3,079.53
Blended Fair Value$2,482.29
Current Price$1,541.10
Upside61.07%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017
DPS1.56%0.00%94.9389.9372.2454.9616.7787.870.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--5.56%24.48%31.45%227.69%-80.91%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.16%7.03%7.83%3.66%1.22%5.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)214,575.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162,053.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)52,521.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42,915.1626,821.9716,093.18
Cash Retained (M)52,521.8352,521.8352,521.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-42,915.16-26,821.97-16,093.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,606.6725,699.8536,428.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,707.161,707.161,707.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.6315.0521.34
LTM Dividend per Share94.9394.9394.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.6315.0521.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend100.55109.98116.26
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Fair Value$1,457.84$1,885.04$2,426.10
Upside / Downside-5.40%22.32%57.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)214,575.78215,772.88216,976.65218,187.15219,404.39220,628.43227,247.28
Payout Ratio75.52%78.42%81.31%84.21%87.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162,053.95169,205.55176,431.89183,733.61191,111.30198,565.59210,203.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.44%0.56%1.56%
Year 1 PV (M)157,409.63158,990.71160,571.80
Year 2 PV (M)152,689.96155,772.72158,886.30
Year 3 PV (M)147,924.01152,426.36157,019.15
Year 4 PV (M)143,137.40148,975.55154,990.49
Year 5 PV (M)138,352.63145,441.98152,819.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,276,501.614,495,634.354,723,659.31
Equity Value (M)5,016,015.235,257,241.665,507,946.04
Shares Outstanding (M)1,707.161,707.161,707.16
Fair Value$2,938.22$3,079.53$3,226.38
Upside / Downside90.66%99.83%109.36%

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