Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$80.42 - $122.84$100.27
Multi-Stage$99.99 - $109.58$104.70
Blended Fair Value$102.48
Current Price$329.07
Upside-68.86%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-13.16%-3.67%1.411.170.595.835.522.863.192.102.947.88
YoY Growth--21.31%97.84%-89.90%5.65%92.88%-10.19%51.90%-28.52%-62.73%283.57%
Dividend Yield--0.70%0.63%0.75%10.37%13.15%6.82%7.59%5.00%6.99%18.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,739.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)476.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,263.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)547.80342.38205.43
Cash Retained (M)2,263.002,263.002,263.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-547.80-342.38-205.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,715.201,920.632,057.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)314.00314.00314.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.466.126.55
LTM Dividend per Share1.521.521.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.466.126.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.987.638.07
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Fair Value$80.42$100.27$122.84
Upside / Downside-75.56%-69.53%-62.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,739.002,796.102,854.402,913.912,974.663,036.683,127.78
Payout Ratio17.38%31.90%46.43%60.95%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)476.00892.041,325.221,776.072,245.152,733.012,893.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate1.08%2.08%3.08%
Year 1 PV (M)804.05812.01819.96
Year 2 PV (M)1,076.691,098.101,119.71
Year 3 PV (M)1,300.661,339.651,379.40
Year 4 PV (M)1,482.011,541.531,602.82
Year 5 PV (M)1,626.101,708.141,793.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,108.5926,375.3727,692.76
Equity Value (M)31,398.1132,874.7934,408.12
Shares Outstanding (M)314.00314.00314.00
Fair Value$99.99$104.70$109.58
Upside / Downside-69.61%-68.18%-66.70%

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