Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Ticker

Industry

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Colony Bankcorp, Inc. (CBAN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$61.67 - $316.25$125.96
Multi-Stage$34.12 - $37.31$35.68
Blended Fair Value$80.82
Current Price$17.01
Upside375.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS24.02%0.00%0.450.440.410.250.220.150.100.050.000.00
YoY Growth--2.29%7.88%60.39%17.45%41.16%59.48%100.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.79%3.96%4.01%1.37%1.39%1.23%0.57%0.28%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.573.482.09
Cash Retained (M)19.8419.8419.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.57-3.48-2.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)14.2716.3617.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.5117.5117.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.820.931.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.460.460.46
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.820.931.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.271.391.47
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$61.67$125.96$316.25
Upside / Downside262.53%640.50%1,759.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.8429.6531.5833.6335.8238.1539.29
Payout Ratio28.75%41.00%53.25%65.50%77.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.0012.1616.8222.0327.8534.3336.34

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.1811.2911.40
Year 2 PV (M)14.2314.5014.78
Year 3 PV (M)17.1517.6518.15
Year 4 PV (M)19.9520.7221.51
Year 5 PV (M)22.6323.7224.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)512.18536.92562.60
Equity Value (M)597.32624.79653.28
Shares Outstanding (M)17.5117.5117.51
Fair Value$34.12$35.68$37.31
Upside / Downside100.57%109.79%119.35%

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