Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Carrier Global Corporation (CARR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$30.87 - $44.06$37.35
Multi-Stage$47.55 - $52.24$49.85
Blended Fair Value$43.60
Current Price$59.70
Upside-26.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%0.760.710.580.480.160.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--8.06%21.81%22.06%202.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.21%1.23%1.27%1.04%0.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,982.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)739.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,243.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)796.40497.75298.65
Cash Retained (M)3,243.003,243.003,243.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-796.40-497.75-298.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,446.602,745.252,944.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)876.65876.65876.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.793.133.36
LTM Dividend per Share0.840.840.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.793.133.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.633.974.20
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$30.87$37.35$44.06
Upside / Downside-48.29%-37.44%-26.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,982.003,942.183,902.763,863.733,825.093,786.843,900.45
Payout Ratio18.56%32.85%47.14%61.42%75.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)739.001,294.881,839.572,373.232,896.043,408.163,607.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.54%9.54%9.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,170.211,182.151,194.09
Year 2 PV (M)1,502.401,533.221,564.35
Year 3 PV (M)1,751.641,805.811,861.09
Year 4 PV (M)1,931.722,011.782,094.31
Year 5 PV (M)2,054.442,161.422,272.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,276.1235,008.8836,813.09
Equity Value (M)41,686.5443,703.2745,799.74
Shares Outstanding (M)876.65876.65876.65
Fair Value$47.55$49.85$52.24
Upside / Downside-20.35%-16.49%-12.49%

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