Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Bank BTPN Syariah Tbk (BTPS.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$989.59 - $1,404.45$1,194.11
Multi-Stage$1,497.27 - $1,643.91$1,569.17
Blended Fair Value$1,381.64
Current Price$1,315.00
Upside5.07%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%68.1888.4258.6031.4342.620.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---22.89%50.88%86.46%-26.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.53%7.02%2.68%0.95%1.22%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,152,990.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)259,604.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)893,386.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)230,598.00144,123.7586,474.25
Cash Retained (M)893,386.00893,386.00893,386.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-230,598.00-144,123.75-86,474.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)662,788.00749,262.25806,911.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,703.407,703.407,703.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share86.0497.26104.75
LTM Dividend per Share33.7033.7033.70
(+) Excess Retained per Share86.0497.26104.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend119.74130.96138.45
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$989.59$1,194.11$1,404.45
Upside / Downside-24.75%-9.19%6.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,152,990.001,141,460.101,130,045.501,118,745.041,107,557.591,096,482.021,129,376.48
Payout Ratio22.52%36.01%49.51%63.01%76.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)259,604.00411,069.19559,479.11704,879.72847,316.38986,833.821,044,673.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)370,403.37374,183.00377,962.63
Year 2 PV (M)454,259.37463,577.27472,989.77
Year 3 PV (M)515,697.53531,645.82547,919.58
Year 4 PV (M)558,580.34581,730.88605,593.69
Year 5 PV (M)586,197.65616,722.33648,505.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,048,907.459,520,105.0610,010,730.46
Equity Value (M)11,534,045.7212,087,964.3612,663,701.68
Shares Outstanding (M)7,703.407,703.407,703.40
Fair Value$1,497.27$1,569.17$1,643.91
Upside / Downside13.86%19.33%25.01%

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