Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PT Bank Maybank Indonesia Tbk (BNII.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$165.87 - $246.75$204.42
Multi-Stage$326.26 - $359.10$342.36
Blended Fair Value$273.39
Current Price$202.00
Upside35.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.26%0.00%10.297.726.473.324.836.614.735.110.000.00
YoY Growth--33.33%19.24%94.85%-31.27%-26.87%39.66%-7.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.42%3.04%2.81%1.09%1.34%4.79%1.75%1.88%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,563,233.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)446,335.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,116,898.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)312,646.60195,404.13117,242.48
Cash Retained (M)1,116,898.001,116,898.001,116,898.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-312,646.60-195,404.13-117,242.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)804,251.40921,493.88999,655.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)76,215.2076,215.2076,215.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.5512.0913.12
LTM Dividend per Share5.865.865.86
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.5512.0913.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.4117.9518.97
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Fair Value$165.87$204.42$246.75
Upside / Downside-17.89%1.20%22.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,563,233.001,543,423.831,523,865.681,504,555.371,485,489.761,466,665.751,510,665.72
Payout Ratio28.55%40.84%53.13%65.42%77.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)446,335.00630,359.55809,648.54984,292.441,154,380.171,319,999.181,397,365.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.40%7.40%7.40%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Year 1 PV (M)580,976.44586,920.98592,865.52
Year 2 PV (M)687,760.00701,906.29716,196.59
Year 3 PV (M)770,610.12794,507.58818,894.06
Year 4 PV (M)832,970.47867,589.03903,275.62
Year 5 PV (M)877,858.65923,698.32971,433.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,115,457.2322,218,055.6123,366,240.39
Equity Value (M)24,865,632.9226,092,677.8127,368,905.38
Shares Outstanding (M)76,215.2076,215.2076,215.20
Fair Value$326.26$342.36$359.10
Upside / Downside61.51%69.48%77.77%

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