Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Keppel Corporation Limited (BN4.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.45 - $3.48$2.95
Multi-Stage$5.51 - $6.05$5.77
Blended Fair Value$4.36
Current Price$7.42
Upside-41.19%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.79%-2.24%0.330.320.350.190.150.230.290.200.300.48
YoY Growth--4.57%-9.59%86.04%26.61%-34.66%-20.57%44.73%-33.25%-37.57%14.36%
Dividend Yield--4.85%4.31%6.23%5.66%4.26%6.61%6.98%3.92%6.57%12.52%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)693.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)522.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)171.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138.6586.6651.99
Cash Retained (M)171.20171.20171.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-138.65-86.66-51.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.5584.54119.21
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,833.511,833.511,833.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.280.280.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.050.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate-4.24%-3.24%-2.24%
Fair Value$2.45$2.95$3.48
Upside / Downside-67.02%-60.19%-53.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)693.26670.78649.03627.98607.62587.92605.55
Payout Ratio75.31%78.24%81.18%84.12%87.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)522.06524.84526.90528.27529.00529.12560.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.59%7.59%7.59%
Growth Rate-4.24%-3.24%-2.24%
Year 1 PV (M)482.76487.80492.84
Year 2 PV (M)445.79455.15464.61
Year 3 PV (M)411.11424.13437.42
Year 4 PV (M)378.67394.74411.31
Year 5 PV (M)348.39366.97386.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,028.938,457.018,903.16
Equity Value (M)10,095.6610,585.8011,095.66
Shares Outstanding (M)1,833.511,833.511,833.51
Fair Value$5.51$5.77$6.05
Upside / Downside-25.79%-22.19%-18.44%

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