Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Periods / Units / Analysis

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Business Alignment Public Company Limited (BIZ.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.26 - $112.41$46.07
Multi-Stage$12.60 - $13.76$13.17
Blended Fair Value$29.62
Current Price$3.84
Upside671.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.01%0.00%0.310.210.300.280.170.110.060.070.370.00
YoY Growth--50.00%-29.77%6.94%60.05%56.18%100.00%-20.00%-81.40%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--9.55%6.14%7.31%4.14%6.32%6.01%2.86%3.18%12.22%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)210.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)116.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.4540.9024.54
Cash Retained (M)116.99116.99116.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.45-40.90-24.54
(=) Excess Retained (M)51.5476.0892.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)578.97578.97578.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.130.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.450.490.52
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.26$46.07$112.41
Upside / Downside479.60%1,099.67%2,827.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327.24348.51371.16395.29420.98448.35461.80
Payout Ratio64.25%69.40%74.55%79.70%84.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)210.25241.87276.70315.05357.20403.51427.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)222.58224.69226.80
Year 2 PV (M)234.34238.80243.31
Year 3 PV (M)245.54252.59259.77
Year 4 PV (M)256.20266.05276.19
Year 5 PV (M)266.34279.20292.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,072.136,365.426,669.93
Equity Value (M)7,297.137,626.757,968.55
Shares Outstanding (M)578.97578.97578.97
Fair Value$12.60$13.17$13.76
Upside / Downside228.22%243.04%258.42%

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