Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Bilia AB (publ) (BILI-A.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - DealershipsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$241.07 - $1,086.09$422.01
Multi-Stage$189.84 - $207.48$198.50
Blended Fair Value$310.26
Current Price$115.00
Upside169.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.41%11.30%7.098.505.986.310.005.194.904.434.093.25
YoY Growth---16.69%42.27%-5.28%0.00%-100.00%5.92%10.68%8.42%25.83%33.63%
Dividend Yield--5.51%6.25%4.67%4.69%0.00%8.47%6.11%5.99%4.42%3.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)727.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)566.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)161.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)145.4090.8854.53
Cash Retained (M)161.00161.00161.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-145.40-90.88-54.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)15.6070.13106.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)93.0193.0193.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.751.14
LTM Dividend per Share6.096.096.09
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.751.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.256.847.23
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Fair Value$241.07$422.01$1,086.09
Upside / Downside109.63%266.97%844.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)727.00766.34807.81851.52897.60946.17974.56
Payout Ratio77.85%80.28%82.71%85.14%87.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)566.00615.24668.16725.00786.04851.55901.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.12%7.12%7.12%
Growth Rate4.41%5.41%6.41%
Year 1 PV (M)568.90574.35579.80
Year 2 PV (M)571.30582.29593.39
Year 3 PV (M)573.21589.83606.78
Year 4 PV (M)574.65596.99619.97
Year 5 PV (M)575.66603.76632.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,792.4515,514.5216,264.52
Equity Value (M)17,656.1718,461.7519,297.41
Shares Outstanding (M)93.0193.0193.01
Fair Value$189.84$198.50$207.48
Upside / Downside65.08%72.61%80.42%

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