Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Banco do Estado de Sergipe S.A. (BGIP3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$355.20 - $1,663.81$789.27
Multi-Stage$205.23 - $224.74$214.80
Blended Fair Value$502.04
Current Price$31.51
Upside1,493.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS192.21%37.39%2.321.541.741.020.130.010.181.380.030.83
YoY Growth--50.97%-11.80%71.43%665.86%1,118.67%-94.09%-86.62%5,297.91%-96.93%759.10%
Dividend Yield--8.60%6.25%6.63%4.22%0.34%0.02%0.50%3.14%0.10%7.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)173.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.62
(=) Cash Retained (M)136.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.6921.6813.01
Cash Retained (M)136.83136.83136.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.69-21.68-13.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)102.14115.15123.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)20.6420.6420.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.955.586.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.771.771.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.955.586.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.727.357.77
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Fair Value$355.20$789.27$1,663.81
Upside / Downside1,027.26%2,404.82%5,180.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)173.45183.94195.06206.86219.37232.63239.61
Payout Ratio21.11%34.89%48.67%62.44%76.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.6264.1794.93129.17167.20209.37221.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.05%6.05%7.05%
Year 1 PV (M)59.3959.9560.52
Year 2 PV (M)81.3082.8684.43
Year 3 PV (M)102.39105.34108.35
Year 4 PV (M)122.66127.39132.27
Year 5 PV (M)142.14149.03156.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,729.153,910.064,097.92
Equity Value (M)4,237.024,434.644,639.68
Shares Outstanding (M)20.6420.6420.64
Fair Value$205.23$214.80$224.74
Upside / Downside551.33%581.70%613.22%

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