Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Banner Corporation (BANR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93.63 - $187.25$130.12
Multi-Stage$87.40 - $95.56$91.41
Blended Fair Value$110.76
Current Price$65.50
Upside69.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.54%17.36%1.921.921.761.662.711.611.711.890.810.49
YoY Growth---0.05%9.31%6.00%-38.75%67.77%-5.41%-9.85%132.51%64.72%27.54%
Dividend Yield--3.01%4.09%3.23%2.83%5.08%4.88%3.07%3.41%1.46%1.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)190.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)66.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)123.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.1023.8214.29
Cash Retained (M)123.56123.56123.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.10-23.82-14.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)85.4699.75109.27
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)34.7534.7534.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.462.873.14
LTM Dividend per Share1.931.931.93
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.462.873.14
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.394.805.07
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate3.95%4.95%5.95%
Fair Value$93.63$130.12$187.25
Upside / Downside42.95%98.65%185.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)190.52199.96209.87220.27231.18242.63249.91
Payout Ratio35.15%46.12%57.09%68.06%79.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)66.9692.22119.81149.91182.70218.37231.17

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.82%8.82%8.82%
Growth Rate3.95%4.95%5.95%
Year 1 PV (M)83.9384.7485.55
Year 2 PV (M)99.25101.17103.11
Year 3 PV (M)113.03116.32119.68
Year 4 PV (M)125.37130.27135.30
Year 5 PV (M)136.39143.08150.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,479.072,600.622,726.90
Equity Value (M)3,037.043,176.203,320.56
Shares Outstanding (M)34.7534.7534.75
Fair Value$87.40$91.41$95.56
Upside / Downside33.44%39.55%45.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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