Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Azelis Group N.V. (AZE.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.79 - $20.64$16.33
Multi-Stage$35.87 - $39.57$37.69
Blended Fair Value$27.01
Current Price$13.53
Upside99.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.220.280.030.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---21.34%866.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.15%1.23%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)296.71
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.3437.0922.25
Cash Retained (M)223.32223.32223.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.34-37.09-22.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)163.98186.23201.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)244.30244.30244.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.670.760.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.670.760.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.971.061.12
WACC / Discount Rate5.44%5.44%5.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.79$16.33$20.64
Upside / Downside-5.46%20.68%52.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)296.71293.75290.81287.90285.02282.17290.64
Payout Ratio24.74%37.79%50.84%63.89%76.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73.39111.00147.85183.95219.32253.95268.84

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.44%5.44%5.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)104.21105.27106.33
Year 2 PV (M)130.31132.98135.68
Year 3 PV (M)152.20156.91161.71
Year 4 PV (M)170.35177.41184.69
Year 5 PV (M)185.18194.83204.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,021.848,439.558,874.49
Equity Value (M)8,764.099,206.959,667.77
Shares Outstanding (M)244.30244.30244.30
Fair Value$35.87$37.69$39.57
Upside / Downside165.15%178.55%192.49%

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