Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Armstrong World Industries, Inc. (AWI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$255.21 - $1,379.06$499.74
Multi-Stage$163.82 - $179.43$171.48
Blended Fair Value$335.61
Current Price$196.01
Upside71.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.29%44.22%1.161.071.010.950.900.810.200.000.000.03
YoY Growth--7.89%6.11%6.76%5.61%10.11%313.95%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-7.69%
Dividend Yield--0.82%0.87%1.42%1.05%0.99%1.02%0.24%0.00%0.00%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)305.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)54.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)251.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.0838.1822.91
Cash Retained (M)251.30251.30251.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.08-38.18-22.91
(=) Excess Retained (M)190.22213.13228.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)43.7843.7843.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.354.875.22
LTM Dividend per Share1.241.241.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.354.875.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.586.106.45
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate4.85%5.85%6.85%
Fair Value$255.21$499.74$1,379.06
Upside / Downside30.20%154.96%603.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)305.40323.26342.17362.18383.36405.78417.95
Payout Ratio17.71%32.17%46.63%61.09%75.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)54.10104.00159.55221.24289.60365.20386.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.14%7.14%7.14%
Growth Rate4.85%5.85%6.85%
Year 1 PV (M)96.1597.0797.98
Year 2 PV (M)136.37138.99141.63
Year 3 PV (M)174.83179.88185.03
Year 4 PV (M)211.58219.77228.19
Year 5 PV (M)246.68258.67271.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,305.706,612.196,930.49
Equity Value (M)7,171.317,506.577,854.45
Shares Outstanding (M)43.7843.7843.78
Fair Value$163.82$171.48$179.43
Upside / Downside-16.42%-12.51%-8.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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