Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

A10 Networks, Inc. (ATEN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.73 - $6.78$5.74
Multi-Stage$7.60 - $8.34$7.96
Blended Fair Value$6.85
Current Price$18.15
Upside-62.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.240.240.220.050.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.11%11.90%310.36%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.76%1.39%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)50.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.07
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.116.323.79
Cash Retained (M)33.0733.0733.07
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.11-6.32-3.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.9626.7529.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)74.0574.0574.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.360.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.240.240.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.360.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.550.600.63
WACC / Discount Rate9.31%9.31%9.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.73$5.74$6.78
Upside / Downside-73.92%-68.39%-62.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)50.5750.0749.5749.0748.5848.0949.54
Payout Ratio34.61%45.69%56.77%67.84%78.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.5022.8728.1433.2938.3443.2845.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.31%9.31%9.31%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)20.7120.9321.14
Year 2 PV (M)23.0723.5524.02
Year 3 PV (M)24.7225.4926.27
Year 4 PV (M)25.7826.8527.95
Year 5 PV (M)26.3627.7329.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)442.00465.02488.98
Equity Value (M)562.65589.56617.52
Shares Outstanding (M)74.0574.0574.05
Fair Value$7.60$7.96$8.34
Upside / Downside-58.13%-56.13%-54.05%

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