Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Asuransi Dayin Mitra Tbk (ASDM.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,095.53 - $1,920.74$1,447.02
Multi-Stage$1,743.07 - $1,911.68$1,825.77
Blended Fair Value$1,636.40
Current Price$555.00
Upside194.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.85%3.45%40.0033.0036.0047.5039.0036.5034.5034.5034.0032.50
YoY Growth--21.21%-8.33%-24.21%21.79%6.85%5.80%0.00%1.47%4.62%14.04%
Dividend Yield--8.51%6.71%7.74%9.60%8.43%7.68%6.39%6.80%7.23%5.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,836.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19,200.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,636.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,367.343,979.592,387.75
Cash Retained (M)12,636.7012,636.7012,636.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,367.34-3,979.59-2,387.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,269.368,657.1110,248.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
LTM Dividend per Share50.0050.0050.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share16.3322.5426.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend66.3372.5476.69
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Fair Value$1,095.53$1,447.02$1,920.74
Upside / Downside97.39%160.72%246.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,836.7032,438.0033,050.6633,674.8934,310.9134,958.9536,007.72
Payout Ratio60.31%66.25%72.18%78.12%84.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19,200.0021,488.9523,857.5126,307.8728,842.2931,463.0533,307.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.00%7.00%7.00%
Growth Rate0.89%1.89%2.89%
Year 1 PV (M)19,886.6220,083.7320,280.84
Year 2 PV (M)20,432.2720,839.3221,250.39
Year 3 PV (M)20,850.8121,476.9922,115.59
Year 4 PV (M)21,154.9922,006.2922,883.02
Year 5 PV (M)21,356.4822,436.0923,558.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)565,659.62594,254.74623,994.76
Equity Value (M)669,340.79701,097.16734,083.53
Shares Outstanding (M)384.00384.00384.00
Fair Value$1,743.07$1,825.77$1,911.68
Upside / Downside214.07%228.97%244.45%

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