Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Antero Resources Corporation (AR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.66 - $21.87$18.09
Multi-Stage$20.11 - $22.07$21.07
Blended Fair Value$19.58
Current Price$33.56
Upside-41.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)547.72
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)93.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)453.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)109.5468.4741.08
Cash Retained (M)453.78453.78453.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-109.54-68.47-41.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)344.24385.32412.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)313.11313.11313.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.101.231.32
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.101.231.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.401.531.62
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate-0.03%0.97%1.97%
Fair Value$14.66$18.09$21.87
Upside / Downside-56.32%-46.10%-34.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)547.72553.06558.45563.89569.39574.93592.18
Payout Ratio17.15%31.72%46.29%60.86%75.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)93.94175.44258.51343.19429.49517.44547.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.52%9.52%9.52%
Growth Rate-0.03%0.97%1.97%
Year 1 PV (M)158.60160.19161.77
Year 2 PV (M)211.28215.53219.82
Year 3 PV (M)253.57261.26269.09
Year 4 PV (M)286.89298.54310.54
Year 5 PV (M)312.47328.41345.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,074.395,333.305,602.67
Equity Value (M)6,297.196,597.226,908.90
Shares Outstanding (M)313.11313.11313.11
Fair Value$20.11$21.07$22.07
Upside / Downside-40.07%-37.22%-34.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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