Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. (AMG)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.28 - $132.99$114.10
Multi-Stage$142.80 - $157.20$149.85
Blended Fair Value$131.98
Current Price$238.43
Upside-44.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-53.63%0.00%0.040.040.050.050.501.951.921.340.000.00
YoY Growth---6.67%-6.25%-5.88%-89.88%-74.27%1.40%43.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.02%0.03%0.03%0.04%0.34%3.30%1.73%0.71%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)531.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)530.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)106.2466.4039.84
Cash Retained (M)530.00530.00530.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-106.24-66.40-39.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)423.76463.60490.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)33.4833.4833.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.6613.8514.64
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.6613.8514.64
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.6913.8814.68
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate-2.92%-1.92%-0.92%
Fair Value$95.28$114.10$132.99
Upside / Downside-60.04%-52.14%-44.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)531.20521.00510.99501.18491.55482.11496.58
Payout Ratio0.23%18.18%36.14%54.09%72.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.2094.72184.65271.09354.14433.90459.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.01%10.01%10.01%
Growth Rate-2.92%-1.92%-0.92%
Year 1 PV (M)85.2286.1086.98
Year 2 PV (M)149.47152.56155.69
Year 3 PV (M)197.43203.59209.88
Year 4 PV (M)232.04241.75251.76
Year 5 PV (M)255.79269.24283.25
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,860.194,063.144,274.55
Equity Value (M)4,780.145,016.395,262.11
Shares Outstanding (M)33.4833.4833.48
Fair Value$142.80$149.85$157.20
Upside / Downside-40.11%-37.15%-34.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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