Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Analysis Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

American Funds American Mutual Fund (AMFCX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.97 - $93.42$61.54
Multi-Stage$43.87 - $47.89$45.84
Blended Fair Value$53.69
Current Price$47.01
Upside14.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS6.38%17.11%2.072.041.901.801.711.521.261.040.860.49
YoY Growth--1.88%7.04%5.85%5.33%12.06%21.09%21.21%20.66%75.24%14.81%
Dividend Yield--4.35%3.91%4.03%5.16%4.23%3.96%3.33%3.01%2.35%1.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)236.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)215.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.3429.5917.75
Cash Retained (M)21.6021.6021.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.34-29.59-17.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-25.74-7.993.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.60104.60104.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.25-0.080.04
LTM Dividend per Share2.062.062.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.25-0.080.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.811.982.09
WACC / Discount Rate8.04%8.04%8.04%
Growth Rate3.67%4.67%5.67%
Fair Value$42.97$61.54$93.42
Upside / Downside-8.59%30.92%98.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)236.70247.75259.32271.43284.10297.37306.29
Payout Ratio90.87%90.70%90.52%90.35%90.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)215.10224.71234.75245.24256.19267.63283.32

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.04%8.04%8.04%
Growth Rate3.67%4.67%5.67%
Year 1 PV (M)206.01207.99209.98
Year 2 PV (M)197.30201.12204.98
Year 3 PV (M)188.96194.48200.10
Year 4 PV (M)180.97188.05195.34
Year 5 PV (M)173.31181.84190.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,642.553,821.664,007.74
Equity Value (M)4,589.094,795.135,008.83
Shares Outstanding (M)104.60104.60104.60
Fair Value$43.87$45.84$47.89
Upside / Downside-6.67%-2.48%1.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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