Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

PT Bank Amar Indonesia Tbk (AMAR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$370.37 - $1,389.17$622.37
Multi-Stage$245.06 - $267.26$255.96
Blended Fair Value$439.16
Current Price$158.00
Upside177.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%6.960.000.000.001.670.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.89%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235,203.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)168,431.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,772.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47,040.6029,400.3817,640.23
Cash Retained (M)66,772.0066,772.0066,772.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-47,040.60-29,400.38-17,640.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,731.4037,371.6349,131.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)18,381.0518,381.0518,381.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.072.032.67
LTM Dividend per Share9.169.169.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.072.032.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend10.2411.2011.84
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$370.37$622.37$1,389.17
Upside / Downside134.41%293.90%779.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235,203.00250,491.20266,773.12284,113.38302,580.75322,248.49331,915.95
Payout Ratio71.61%75.29%78.97%82.64%86.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)168,431.00188,591.63210,661.51234,803.69261,194.30290,023.64307,022.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.42%8.42%8.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)172,318.58173,951.93175,585.28
Year 2 PV (M)175,875.20179,225.13182,606.66
Year 3 PV (M)179,115.85184,257.63189,496.87
Year 4 PV (M)182,054.96189,056.28196,257.62
Year 5 PV (M)184,706.39193,627.78202,890.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,610,308.973,784,688.253,965,741.43
Equity Value (M)4,504,379.964,704,807.004,912,578.48
Shares Outstanding (M)18,381.0518,381.0518,381.05
Fair Value$245.06$255.96$267.26
Upside / Downside55.10%62.00%69.15%

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