Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Visiativ S.A. (ALVIV.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$120.67 - $375.18$193.25
Multi-Stage$80.06 - $87.45$83.69
Blended Fair Value$138.47
Current Price$27.10
Upside410.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%1.100.460.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--138.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.05%1.71%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)13.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.202.631.58
Cash Retained (M)13.9013.9013.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.20-2.63-1.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.7011.2812.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.132.472.70
LTM Dividend per Share1.561.561.56
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.132.472.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.684.034.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$120.67$193.25$375.18
Upside / Downside345.29%613.08%1,284.43%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.0022.3723.8225.3727.0228.7729.63
Payout Ratio33.81%45.05%56.29%67.52%78.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7.1010.0713.4117.1321.2825.8927.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.72%8.72%8.72%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9.189.279.35
Year 2 PV (M)11.1311.3411.56
Year 3 PV (M)12.9613.3313.71
Year 4 PV (M)14.6715.2315.81
Year 5 PV (M)16.2617.0517.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)300.94315.48330.57
Equity Value (M)365.14381.69398.86
Shares Outstanding (M)4.564.564.56
Fair Value$80.06$83.69$87.45
Upside / Downside195.42%208.82%222.71%

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