Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Kumulus Vape S.A. (ALVAP.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.83 - $19.36$15.92
Multi-Stage$25.46 - $28.03$26.72
Blended Fair Value$21.32
Current Price$4.86
Upside338.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.150.100.090.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--50.11%5.52%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.85%1.24%0.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.57
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.940.590.35
Cash Retained (M)3.573.573.57
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.94-0.59-0.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.632.983.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.133.133.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.840.951.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.840.951.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.201.311.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.83$15.92$19.36
Upside / Downside164.08%227.48%298.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.704.664.614.564.524.474.61
Payout Ratio24.09%37.27%50.45%63.64%76.82%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.131.742.332.903.474.024.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1.601.621.64
Year 2 PV (M)1.982.022.07
Year 3 PV (M)2.292.362.43
Year 4 PV (M)2.532.632.74
Year 5 PV (M)2.712.852.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)68.6272.2075.92
Equity Value (M)79.7383.6887.78
Shares Outstanding (M)3.133.133.13
Fair Value$25.46$26.72$28.03
Upside / Downside423.92%449.86%476.83%

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