Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Piscines Desjoyaux S.A. (ALPDX.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$51.80 - $136.64$79.08
Multi-Stage$58.28 - $63.76$60.97
Blended Fair Value$70.03
Current Price$15.50
Upside351.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.43%6.96%1.001.001.020.510.510.510.510.510.510.51
YoY Growth--0.00%-1.97%99.98%0.02%0.04%-0.07%0.02%0.11%-0.20%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.97%7.60%5.54%1.65%2.83%4.11%3.57%3.34%5.54%7.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)17.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.082.551.53
Cash Retained (M)2.442.442.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.08-2.55-1.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.64-0.110.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.988.988.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.010.10
LTM Dividend per Share2.002.002.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.18-0.010.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.821.992.10
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate3.09%4.09%5.09%
Fair Value$51.80$79.08$136.64
Upside / Downside234.22%410.20%781.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20.3921.2222.0923.0023.9424.9225.66
Payout Ratio88.06%88.45%88.83%89.22%89.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)17.9518.7719.6220.5221.4522.4223.74

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate3.09%4.09%5.09%
Year 1 PV (M)17.4217.5917.76
Year 2 PV (M)16.9117.2417.57
Year 3 PV (M)16.4016.8917.38
Year 4 PV (M)15.9216.5417.19
Year 5 PV (M)15.4416.2117.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)441.07462.88485.54
Equity Value (M)523.16547.34572.44
Shares Outstanding (M)8.988.988.98
Fair Value$58.28$60.97$63.76
Upside / Downside275.97%293.35%311.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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