Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

AGCO Corporation (AGCO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.68 - $121.02$90.89
Multi-Stage$70.62 - $77.28$73.89
Blended Fair Value$82.39
Current Price$107.07
Upside-23.05%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.58%20.94%3.666.125.414.800.640.640.630.600.570.56
YoY Growth---40.29%13.13%12.78%646.88%0.00%1.91%5.84%4.71%1.19%2.94%
Dividend Yield--3.95%5.08%4.00%3.29%0.45%1.36%0.90%0.92%0.95%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)375.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)86.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)288.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.0646.9128.15
Cash Retained (M)288.80288.80288.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.06-46.91-28.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)213.74241.89260.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)74.7074.7074.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.863.243.49
LTM Dividend per Share1.161.161.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.863.243.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.024.404.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate3.22%4.22%5.22%
Fair Value$68.68$90.89$121.02
Upside / Downside-35.85%-15.11%13.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)375.30391.15407.66424.87442.81461.51475.35
Payout Ratio23.05%36.44%49.83%63.22%76.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)86.50142.53203.13268.60339.23415.35439.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.26%9.26%9.26%
Growth Rate3.22%4.22%5.22%
Year 1 PV (M)129.19130.45131.70
Year 2 PV (M)166.90170.15173.43
Year 3 PV (M)200.05205.92211.90
Year 4 PV (M)229.01238.02247.29
Year 5 PV (M)254.17266.72279.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,296.284,508.464,728.95
Equity Value (M)5,275.615,519.725,773.03
Shares Outstanding (M)74.7074.7074.70
Fair Value$70.62$73.89$77.28
Upside / Downside-34.04%-30.99%-27.82%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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