Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Industry

Sector

American Coastal Insurance Corporation (ACIC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - Property & CasualtySector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.57 - $21.90$18.03
Multi-Stage$25.59 - $28.14$26.84
Blended Fair Value$22.44
Current Price$11.39
Upside96.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.58%21.87%0.490.000.050.210.210.210.210.180.100.09
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-74.99%0.36%0.32%0.12%14.20%80.76%15.62%28.96%
Dividend Yield--4.20%0.00%1.85%6.30%2.88%2.24%1.26%0.95%0.63%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)61.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.0410.656.39
Cash Retained (M)61.1261.1261.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.04-10.65-6.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)44.0750.4654.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)49.6449.6449.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.490.490.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.021.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.371.501.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Fair Value$14.57$18.03$21.90
Upside / Downside27.89%58.33%92.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85.2284.8584.4984.1383.7783.4185.91
Payout Ratio28.28%40.63%52.97%65.31%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24.1034.4744.7554.9565.0575.0779.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.87%7.87%7.87%
Growth Rate-1.43%-0.43%0.57%
Year 1 PV (M)31.6431.9632.28
Year 2 PV (M)37.7038.4739.24
Year 3 PV (M)42.4843.7845.11
Year 4 PV (M)46.1548.0550.01
Year 5 PV (M)48.8851.4154.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,063.591,118.641,175.96
Equity Value (M)1,270.431,332.311,396.65
Shares Outstanding (M)49.6449.6449.64
Fair Value$25.59$26.84$28.14
Upside / Downside124.70%135.64%147.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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