Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Absolent Air Care Group AB (publ) (ABSO.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176.05 - $457.67$267.52
Multi-Stage$123.83 - $135.15$129.39
Blended Fair Value$198.46
Current Price$272.00
Upside-27.04%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.87%21.61%3.002.752.001.800.001.501.000.900.800.57
YoY Growth--9.09%37.50%11.11%0.00%-100.00%50.00%11.12%12.49%39.51%35.19%
Dividend Yield--1.14%0.79%0.44%0.50%0.00%0.44%0.28%0.71%0.64%0.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)86.29
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)49.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.2610.796.47
Cash Retained (M)49.5049.5049.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.26-10.79-6.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.2438.7143.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.3111.3111.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.853.423.80
LTM Dividend per Share3.253.253.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.853.423.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend6.106.687.06
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$176.05$267.52$457.67
Upside / Downside-35.27%-1.65%68.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)86.2991.9097.88104.24111.01118.23121.78
Payout Ratio42.64%52.11%61.58%71.05%80.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.7947.8960.2774.0789.40106.41112.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.16%9.16%9.16%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)43.4643.8744.28
Year 2 PV (M)49.6450.5951.54
Year 3 PV (M)55.3656.9558.56
Year 4 PV (M)60.6362.9765.36
Year 5 PV (M)65.5068.6671.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,125.981,180.371,236.84
Equity Value (M)1,400.571,463.401,528.53
Shares Outstanding (M)11.3111.3111.31
Fair Value$123.83$129.39$135.15
Upside / Downside-54.47%-52.43%-50.31%

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