Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

PORR AG (ABS2.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$491.41 - $578.97$542.58
Multi-Stage$349.68 - $383.70$366.37
Blended Fair Value$454.48
Current Price$28.20
Upside1,511.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.75%13.10%1.121.010.980.510.331.161.160.981.290.62
YoY Growth--11.21%2.66%92.51%55.10%-71.75%0.00%19.03%-24.18%106.55%90.76%
Dividend Yield--4.27%7.12%7.27%4.32%2.23%8.19%6.05%3.71%3.92%2.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21.5113.448.07
Cash Retained (M)57.2757.2757.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-21.51-13.44-8.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.7643.8249.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)36.9436.9436.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.971.191.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.361.361.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.971.191.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.332.552.69
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Fair Value$491.41$542.58$578.97
Upside / Downside1,642.59%1,824.03%1,953.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107.55114.52121.94129.84138.26147.22151.63
Payout Ratio46.75%55.40%64.05%72.70%81.35%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.2863.4578.1194.40112.47132.49140.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.42%1.42%1.42%
Growth Rate5.48%6.48%7.48%
Year 1 PV (M)61.9762.5663.15
Year 2 PV (M)74.5275.9477.37
Year 3 PV (M)87.9790.5093.07
Year 4 PV (M)102.38106.32110.37
Year 5 PV (M)117.81123.50129.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,471.3113,073.8013,699.34
Equity Value (M)12,915.9713,532.6214,172.72
Shares Outstanding (M)36.9436.9436.94
Fair Value$349.68$366.37$383.70
Upside / Downside1,140.00%1,199.20%1,260.65%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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